As summer progresses, the Jorge Rey's cabaƱuelas They are once again making headlines for what they suggest for the coming days: unrelenting heat, outbreaks of suspended dust, and some changes on the horizon that could cool the atmosphere in parts of the country.
Persistent heat and African masses on the peninsula
According to the signs observed, the start of the second half of August will continue to be dominated by warm air inlets of African origin, responsible for keeping temperatures very high, with values above 35 ĀŗC in large areas and peaks close to 40 ĀŗC in southern valleys.
This warm pattern is accompanied, at specific times, by haze and muggy atmosphere, more pronounced in archipelagos and in areas of the southeast of the peninsula, where extreme temperature warnings have been issued during the most intense episodes.
The State Meteorological Agency has indicated that the heat wave may last longer until well into the middle of the month, with variable skies and developing cloudiness in the interior that, in the afternoon, could leave showers in mountainous areas.
Jorge Rey agrees that, despite small respites, the tone will remain summery and demanding, especially in the center and south of the peninsula, where the temperature will feel soaring during the central hours of the day.
Storms and depressions: intermittent instability
In parallel to the heat, Rey warns of the arrival of storms and downpours from high latitudes which, in their interaction with warm air, can trigger storms in the north and in points of the northeast and east of the peninsula.
These types of situations would not be widespread, but they would be locally intense in mountain areas and their surroundings, with gusts of wind and showers that would discharge in the afternoon, especially when the wind shifts from the south and combines with cooler air at altitude.
In addition, for a few days, southerly winds will drive warm masses and Saharan dust, maintaining the haze and reducing visibility, especially in the Canary Islands and areas of the Mediterranean.
After these episodes, the more temperate air masses that accompany the storms will tend to moderate temperatures in the Cantabrian and Upper Ebro, with occasionally significant drops compared to previous days.
Anticyclone in the north and drop in temperatures
Facing the final stretch of the month, Jorge Rey insists on a key point: the consolidation of an anticyclone over northern latitudes of the peninsula, which would favor the entry of warmer air from Europe.
If this pattern takes hold, there would be a noticeable gradual drop in temperatures in the northern third and, less strongly, in the center, with a more stable atmosphere and less prone to extreme peaks.
This change would not imply cold, but a thermal respite After the hottest days, temperatures remained high in the south and in inland areas, although below previous highs.
September and the cabaƱuelas: prolonged heat
Looking at the short and medium term, the young man from Burgos suggests that September would maintain a warm atmosphere in much of the country, with fully summery days, especially in the first half of the month.
The month usually brings episodes of instability on the Mediterranean side, so it would not be unusual to see a series of hot days with storms and intense downpours separated by periods of calm.
King remembers that the CabaƱuelas predictions They are a popular method without a scientific basis and their signals are interpreted together with the real atmospheric situation, which helps to qualify trends and avoid categorical readings.
A is expected verano extendido, with still warm nights in low-lying areas and high maximum temperatures in the south, although with increasing ups and downs typical of the end of the season.