The National Water Commission (Conagua) keeps cyclone monitoring and keys over a low pressure zone in the Pacific Ocean, located south of the coasts of Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco, which presents a 60% chance to evolve into a tropical system in the next seven days.
If its organization continues, this disturbance would be the next tropical cyclone of the season and would be named Juliette. So far this period, the eastern Pacific has accounted for four tropical storms and five hurricanes, which keeps authorities on alert and the population attentive to changes in the forecast.
If successful, the system would first reach the category of tropical storm and, depending on its trajectory and rate of strengthening, it could bring cloud bands intermittently closer to the coast, with episodes of rain and gusts of wind.
States with greater attention due to its proximity to the training area:
- Michoacán
- Colima
- Jalisco
Evolution is still uncertain, which is why it is important to consult official reports and avoid disseminating unverified information while the forecast is being updated.
Associated conditions and anticipated impacts
In parallel, the Mexican monsoon and divergence at high levels favors heavy to very heavy rains with electric shocks on areas of Sonora, Chihuahua, Nayarit y Baja California Sur, increasing the risk of occasional flooding.
A low pressure channel that extends over the Northern Tableland and Central Tableland, together with a high valley, conducive showers and storms from the northeast to the west of the country, with probable electrical activity also in the Mexico's valley.
In addition, the passage of a tropical wave by the Yucatan Peninsula and the southeast, combined with the contribution of humidity from Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea, will maintain rainfall in those regions.
An atmosphere will persist hot to very hot in the north of the Republic and in strips of the Pacific and Gulf coast; in points of Baja California and Sonora values above are not ruled out 45 ° C, a scenario that requires additional precaution due to heat exhaustion and dehydration.
Given this pattern, the presence of gusts of wind, flooding of streams and high waves on exposed coasts, so extreme care is recommended in low and hillside areas.
Recommendations and preparation
Civil protection authorities insist on a family emergency plan: Identify a safe meeting point, have it handy kit, drinking water, flashlights and basic documents, and check roofs, windows and drains to minimize damage.
If you live with pets, designate a protected space at home or a nearby shelter; keep the emergency numbers visible and follow only information from official channels.
Avoid crossing rivers, streams or flood zones during episodes of heavy rain and in case of warnings by swell or high waves, limits beach activities and smaller boats.
With active monitoring of low pressure with 60% development In southern Michoacán, Colima, and Jalisco, the key is to stay informed and prepared: Juliette It has not yet formed, but the environmental conditions are already generating rain and weather variations in large areas of the country.
