The July heat wave: forecasts, risks, and effects in Spain for 2025

  • July 2025 will be hotter and drier than average, according to weather forecasts.
  • The first half of the month will affect almost all of Spain with high temperatures and possible heat waves.
  • In the second half of July, the most intense heat will shift to the eastern peninsula and the Balearic Islands.
  • The drought will continue, especially in the south and the Canary Islands, where rainfall will be minimal.

July heat wave

The summer of 2025 arrives in force to Spain and, according to forecasts, July will bring temperatures well above normal in almost the entire country. The risk of heat waves increases significantly, while rainfall will remain scarce in many regions.

Experts and organizations such as the State Meteorological Agency are already warning that A month of extreme weather conditions awaits usThis scenario will test the population's resilience and require measures to protect health, especially among the most vulnerable groups, such as the elderly or those with chronic illnesses.

July 2025: intense heat and possible heat waves in the first half

During the first fortnight, The heat will be widespread and especially noticeable in the interior and south of the peninsula.. The temperatures will be around and even exceed 40 °C In some areas, minimum temperatures will remain high at night, with little respite for sleep. Although most of the country will experience typical Spanish summer temperatures, there are areas, especially the north and far south, that could experience even drier than normal conditions.

The lack of rainfall will mark the beginning of July and, although in general it will remain at normal levels for this time, In some regions they could be slightly lower than expectedThis contributes to increasing the dryness of the environment, a classic characteristic of the season.

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Second half of July: respite in the west, persistent heat in the east

As the month progresses, forecasts point to a slight change in the distribution of heat. The eastern peninsula and the Balearic Islands will experience the highest temperatures., while in the north and west the thermometers will give a slight respite and show somewhat milder values, but still above the average of previous years.

Rainfall will not vary much from what was seen in the first half of the month. Therefore, The dry environment will be the protagonist, especially in the center and south, where the drought could worsen in the absence of rainfall.

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Why is July such a dry and hot month?

July is characterized by being one of the driest months in SpainHistorical averages point to just 20 mm of rainfall across the country, although in some regions, such as the Canary Islands and the southern peninsula, these figures drop to 5 mm. Therefore, dryness and high temperatures are common phenomena during this period..

Furthermore, the The national average temperature is close to 24 °CHowever, during heat waves, these figures can skyrocket and exceed the 40°C barrier in inland areas, increasing the feeling of heat exhaustion and the risk associated with extreme heat.

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What does AEMET say about heat waves?

For an episode to be considered heat wave In Spain, it must meet certain criteria: it must last at least three consecutive days and affect a significant portion of the territory, with maximum temperatures well above the 95th percentile of those recorded in July and August in recent years. It's not just about thermometer readings, but also the geographic reach and persistence of the phenomenon.

According to experts, In recent years the frequency of these events has increased, partly due to the influence of climate change, which is causing longer, hotter summers with increasingly frequent extreme episodes.

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Health impact and recommendations

High temperatures and torrid nights can cause health problems, especially in the most vulnerable people. Therefore, Authorities advise staying hydrated, avoiding prolonged sun exposure during the central hours of the day, and protecting yourself adequately.It's also important to heed the warnings and recommendations of official meteorological services, which constantly update their forecasts and extreme heat alerts.

It is essential to be prepared for a month of July marked by intense heat, drought and the possibility of new heat waves, always following the guidelines that help take care of our health and well-being.

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