The Mediterranean and various regions of Spain The Spanish government is preparing for difficult days due to torrential rain and storms. Forecasts from the State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) warn of heavy rainfall in several autonomous communities in the east of the peninsula, including the Valencian Community, Catalonia and the Balearic Islands, which have been put on alert due to a storm that seems to intensify as the week progresses.
The situation, as described, could reach accumulations of up to 100 liters per square meter in just 12 hours, especially in parts of Valencia and Alicante. These heavy rains are accompanied by thunderstorms and adverse weather conditions that will complicate mobility in some urban and rural areas.
Special notice in Valencia, Catalonia and the Balearic Islands
As already mentioned, the rains began to intensify since early last morning, significantly affecting the Valencian Community. The AEMET has activated orange notices along much of the Mediterranean coast. According to meteorologists, the most significant accumulations will be recorded between This Wednesday and Thursday, although the storm could persist until the weekend.
Another affected region is Murcia, where rainfall could extend not only to coastal areas, but also inland. In turn, eastern Castilla-La Mancha and Aragon will not be spared from showers. The forecasts are clear: there will be storms, some of which will be particularly violent, accompanied by strong gusts of wind.
Thursday: An Atlantic front will combine with instability
On Thursday, the The weather situation on the peninsula will continue to be complicated. While the Mediterranean will continue under the influence of a moist flow, a Atlantic front will penetrate Galicia, bringing new rains from the northwest of the country. This front, together with the cold air mass already in the atmosphere, could unleash more rains in scattered points of the Mediterranean.
Meteorologists also point to the possible formation of a trough at altitude, which could end up breaking away and forming a DANA (Isolated Depression at High Levels). If this is confirmed, the Mediterranean would again be affected by intense rains that could extend southwards, even affecting parts of Andalusia and urban areas such as the Gulf of Valencia.
Possible DANA for the weekend
The main focus remains on the weekend, where uncertainty about the trajectory of the possible DANA predominates. Meteorological models indicate that this A pocket of cold air would settle in the northeast from the peninsula, extending across the Mediterranean. As a result, rain could once again be the main feature in Balearic Islands and the Mediterranean coast, as well as in other places, such as the center and the north of the country.
Although they cannot yet be predicted with precision the accumulated precipitation, current projections point to possible very heavy showers and storms concentrated in these areas. With the DANA threatening to bring cold air and more instability, it is not ruled out that the temperatures continue to fall, especially in the interior of the peninsula and in mountainous areas where the first frosts of the season could even occur.
Falling temperatures and general instability
Throughout this week, the thermometer will move significantly depending on the region. In the northernmost peninsula, maximum temperatures will tend to rise slightly, especially in Galicia and the Cantabrian Mountains, where temperatures will easily exceed 25ºC. On the other hand, in the southeast of the peninsula and the Valencian Community, temperatures will not only drop, but could show anomalies of up to -8ºC in some areas.
Brianda minimum temperatures, these will fall across the board in large areas of the interior, even falling below 5ºC in areas such as León, La Rioja or Aragón, with possible frost in mountain areas. In the areas most affected by the rain, the minimum temperatures will be accompanied by wind, which will increase the feeling of cold.
Winds and coastal phenomena
Another notable element in this meteorological situation is the wind. Easterly winds are expected to intensify, especially in the Strait of Gibraltar and the Atlantic coast. The gusts could be especially intense on the Galician coasts. Therefore, the AEMET recommends caution in coastal areas affected by strong waves and wind, which could generate adverse coastal phenomena.
These episodes will continue throughout much of the weekend, with the possibility that the peninsular Mediterranean be more affected by the interaction of the easterly flow and the possible arrival of the DANA.
Therefore, the week presents itself with a unstable outlook in the Mediterranean and the north of the country. Although stability is expected in some areas of the western peninsula, especially in Galicia and the Cantabrian coast, the east of the peninsula will be on alert for rain and storms that could cause local problems. The formation of the DANA is another unknown that will mark the next weekend, so we will have to closely monitor its evolution.