Weather conditions in Mexico are under scrutiny due to the possible formation of a new tropical cyclone in the Pacific Ocean, which would be named Ivo. Forecasts and intense monitoring of the National Meteorological Service (SMN) and international organizations have focused attention on a low pressure zone with high potential to become the ninth cyclone of the season, which could impact a large part of the national territory in the coming days.
With a probability of development greater than 90% in the coming days, the evolution of this system keeps the entities of the Pacific coast on alert. Although the models suggest that Ivo would not touch land, The extensive circulation of this possible cyclone will generate significant rains, strong winds and high waves. in various states, so the population should remain attentive to the authorities' warnings.
Where is the low pressure zone located and how is it evolving?
According to the latest information from the SMN, the low pressure zone is currently located at about 310 kilometers south-southeast of Puerto Ángel, Oaxaca, moving towards the west-northwest with an approximate speed of 24 km/hThe environmental conditions in the region are particularly favorable for this system to develop rapidly. It is expected that between Wednesday and Thursday evolve to Tropical depression, and subsequently reached the category of Tropical Storm Ivo. More on cyclone formation in Mexico.
The interaction between tropical wave number 20 and low pressure will play a key role in the intensification of the system. If the forecast is fulfilled, Ivo It would form off the coasts of Colima and Jalisco, with no direct impact on land estimated for now, although significant effects are expected in states near the coast.
Ivo's expected trajectory and local effects on the season
The projected progress of Ivo would take him for a tour route parallel to the Mexican Pacific coast. Between wednesday and friday, variable intensity rains and strong winds are estimated in states such as Guerrero, Oaxaca, Michoacán, Colima, Jalisco, Sinaloa and Baja California SurThe most relevant meteorological models (GFS, ECMWF) agree that most of the humidity will be concentrated from the south to the northwest of the country, along with showers, gusts of wind and possible hail in specific regions.
By key days, the effects would be distributed as follows:
- Wednesday: Intensified rainfall in the south and southeast (Chiapas, Oaxaca, Guerrero) and high waves on nearby coasts.
- Thursday: Potential tropical cyclone formation off Michoacán and Colima; increased rainfall in Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, and Nayarit; and scattered thunderstorms on the Yucatán Peninsula.
- Friday: The system will be located southwest of Baja California Sur, bringing intense rain and winds to the state and surrounding areas.
- Saturday and Sunday: Remnants of moisture will continue to fuel storms, especially in the west, center, and north of the country.
The tropical cyclone season in the Pacific has already presented four hurricanes and several tropical storms, so Ivo would be the ninth phenomenon with a name registered this year, according to the official list of SMN and international organizations.
Recommendations and preventive actions in the face of the arrival of Ivo
The meteorological and civil protection authorities They insist on the importance of carefully follow official notices and recommendations. Although Ivo could remain at sea, its effects in the form of torrential rains, wind and waves can increase risks of landslides, floods or damage to coastal communitiesThe public is advised to take precautions, protect objects that could be blown away by the wind, and be prepared for possible eventualities.
The SMN reports Another tropical storm, Henriette, will continue in the Pacific, although due to its location, it poses no threat to the country. Both could coincide for a few days in the same basin, but their trajectories remain separate according to current data.
