La Tropical Storm Fernand It has organized in the western Atlantic and remains active several hundred kilometers from the Bermuda, with no direct threats over land. Initial official reports confirm that the system has consolidated with a defined convective core and closed surface circulation.
According to National Hurricane Center (NHC), Fernand moves towards the north-northeast and will tend to turn northeast, remaining over open waters. It is expected some strengthening in the next 48 hours and a decrease in intensity starting Tuesday, with no coastal watches or warnings in effect for now.
What is known now about Tropical Storm Fernand?
At the time of its formation, the center of Fernand was located near 27.2°N, 61.4°W, approximately to about 405 miles (650 km) SSE of Bermuda. Presented maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h (40 mph) and was moving north at about 24 km / h (15 mph), with a central pressure close to 1010 hPa.
El tropical storm force wind field It extends to about 105 miles (170 km) from the center, especially in the semicircles of the forward quadrant. The NHC forecasts call for Fernand could approach the hurricane threshold on Monday to subsequently, weakened since Tuesday as it continues its route through the subtropical North Atlantic.
Fernand was formed during the afternoon of Saturday and has become the sixth named cyclone of the current season in the Atlantic basin. The system has shown an orderly evolution, consistent with a moderately favorable development environment in the lower and middle layers.
Expected trajectory and possible effects
Reference models indicate a shift towards NNE and a progressive turn to the NE, maintaining the center of circulation well east of Bermuda and far from land. In the short term, a acceleration of motion as you encounter stronger prevailing winds at higher latitudes.
In the Bermuda No direct impacts are anticipated; however, they may occur Periods of swell, rougher waves and intermittent showers on the periphery of the system, without implying widespread storm conditions. Any changes in the trajectory will be evaluated in upcoming official advisories.
For the continental coast there is no immediate threats. Deep-sea navigation and recreational craft operating in the western Atlantic should consult the maritime reports updated for the possible presence of long waves and rip currents associated with the cyclone in the open sea.
Intensity, wind and official surveillance
Fernand maintains sustained winds close to 65 km/h, with upper gusts in the convective bands, and a central pressure around 1010 hPaThese figures are compatible with a tropical storm of low to moderate intensity which, under favorable conditions, could gain some strength in the short term.
El NHC anticipates limited strengthening until Monday, when could reach hurricane intensity, followed by a period of weakening since Tuesday. Till the date, there are no surveillance or warnings in force associated with this system; however, residents and boaters in the area of influence are advised to remain alert to the official updates.
Generally, Fernand remains well away from the coast, with a route that will take it northeast through the subtropical North Atlantic, without expectations of direct impact on populations, although with the capacity to generate significant waves and adverse marine conditions in the open ocean as it evolves and changes in intensity.