As we approach the celebration of the Semana Santa 2025, interest is growing in knowing whether the weather will be favorable during these days that traditionally mark the festive and tourist calendar in Spain. This year, the holiday falls in mid-April, which in principle could be associated with more stable weather. However, the latest estimates suggest a somewhat different scenario. For more details on the specific weather, you can consult the information on the weather for Easter 2025.
Weather analysts from various meteorological platforms and forecasting centers agree on a general view: the atmosphere is particularly active in spring and this could translate into a period marked by a increased frequency of rainfall compared to what is usual for these dates.
Easter 2025: Higher risk of precipitation?
According to multiple sources, including the European model and Meteored experts, the days between April 14 and 20 would be influenced by a dynamic atmosphere. The formation of storms is expected, which could affect a large part of the national territory., including the Peninsula and both archipelagos. For more information on storms, you can read about Storm Nuria.
Rainfall is not expected to occur constantly, but it could be more frequent than usual for this time of year. In particular, the western and southwestern areas of the peninsula, as well as parts of the Cantabrian coast, would be more likely to record rain, although it would not be completely ruled out in other regions.
This possible rainy scenario is part of a spring that has already begun with intense rainfall in March, which They have helped alleviate the drought and fill reservoirs in various areas.. However, this excess moisture has also caused flooding and risk of occasional flooding, which could recur if the rains persist in April. This is why it's important to keep an eye on the conditions, especially if you're interested in the impact of weather on the celebrations, as mentioned in the analysis of AEMET and the storms.
Temperatures: within normal limits, but with regional nuances
As for mercury, the Projections point to temperatures generally in line with the historical average for the month. However, Some regions such as the Mediterranean coast, the Balearic Islands and the Canary Islands could experience slightly higher figures. than usual, which would favor pleasant days, especially at midday.
On the other hand, areas such as western Andalusia, western Castilla-La Mancha and Extremadura could see values slightly lower than normal, although not representing an unusual cold for the month of April. This thermal pattern can also be followed in the anticyclone situation in spring.
This unequal distribution reflects the high variability that characterizes the spring season in Spain, where the passage of a storm or the temporary establishment of an anticyclone can significantly modify thermal conditions.
Impact of global warming: more intense and frequent phenomena
Meteorological experts have also drawn attention to a underlying trend: global warming is increasing the intensity of climate events. The high temperatures recorded on the Earth's surface and in the oceans In recent years, they have been adding more energy to the atmosphere. This translates, among other things, into more intense rainfall, more unpredictable cycles, and more frequent extreme events.
During Holy Week 2025, this phenomenon may be reflected in the appearance of torrential rains or more virulent storms associated with the widespread rise in temperature across the planet and excess humidity in the atmosphere. For more information on this topic, please consult the article on the storm and its impact.
Pay attention to "Operation Exit": what awaits us at the start of the holidays?
For the week before Easter, when many citizens begin their travels, Models point to a new storm that could approach from the southwest and especially affect Western Andalusia, Extremadura and the central peninsulaRain could increase as Palm Sunday approaches.
In the northern and coastal Mediterranean areas, on the other hand, the situation appears somewhat more stable, with a lower probability of precipitation, although not without occasional showers, especially in mountainous areas. For those traveling and monitoring the conditions, it is advisable to be informed of how the storms are developing, as mentioned in the forecast. the calima and DANA of previous years.
Regarding temperatures, The start of the holidays is expected to be even higher than average. in areas such as Galicia, Asturias and the northwest of Castile and León, while on the Mediterranean coast more moderate thermal temperatures are expected.
What does the weather say? An 80% chance of rain at some point.
Historical records help put current predictions into context. According to available data, Around 80% of Holy Weeks in Spain have seen rain at some point. in different parts of the country. This doesn't necessarily mean that it rains every day or even across the board. To better understand this issue, you can review the analysis of historical phenomena on Mount Saint Helens.
The areas with the highest incidence of rainfall at this time are usually Galicia, Asturias, Cantabria, the Basque Country and northern Castile and León, with accumulated amounts that can exceed 100-150 mm during the month of April. By contrast, Murcia, Almería and the eastern Canary Islands They usually spend this period with very little or no rain.
The rest of the peninsula is located in an intermediate range, where weather conditions depend largely on the disturbances in circulation on those specific days. humidity index The rainfall recorded by the European Centre also reflects high values for the central week of Easter, which does not guarantee continuous rain, but increases its probability in some time periods and areas.
Given these forecasts, Meteorologists insist on the need to be alert to upcoming updates. As the days go by, the accuracy of the models will improve, allowing us to provide more accurate forecasts of when and where it will rain.
Everything points to This year's Holy Week will be marked by more changeable weather than usual.The possibility of rainy days like those in March is real, although with regional differences. Temperature won't be a problem for most, but Intermittent rains could interfere with some religious or tourist events.