Talking about climate change today is undoubtedly referring to Paris AgreementThis historic agreement, which has been ratified by 103 countries, aims to reduce Emissions of greenhouse gases and permanently replaces the Kyoto Protocol. However, the recent election of Donald Trump As President of the United States, he has raised concerns about the continuation of this international commitment.
Since the beginning of global efforts to combat climate change, Donald Trump has shown a skeptical attitude, claiming that climate change is an invention of the chinese to keep the population scared and enrich certain sectors. This has led many to wonder whether his election victory could threaten US participation in the Paris Agreement. Can Donald Trump really stop US participation in this fundamental agreement?
The French Minister of Ecology, Ségolène Royal, has stated that Trump's victory will not be able to prevent the implementation of the Paris Agreement, given the enthusiasm and cooperation of the 103 countries that have ratified it, which are responsible for approximately 70% of global greenhouse gas emissions.
During his election campaign, Trump not only signaled his intention to cancel the treaty, but also proposed cutting US funding for climate change-related actions under the auspices of the United Nations. Royal has argued that, despite Trump's intentions, he cannot legally deny the Paris AgreementThis topic becomes more relevant considering that The US has found a way to stay in the agreementSome experts see Trump's stance as a significant risk to the future of global engagement, especially in The US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement and its global effects.
In a broader context, one must consider the impact of his energy policy. During his term, Trump expressed his intention to restart the controversial Keystone XL pipeline, Stating that “I want it to be built, but I want a share of the profits. This is how we will make our country rich again ".
Context of the Paris Agreement and its Global Implications
The Paris Agreement, adopted in December 2015, represents a concerted global effort to limit the increase in global average temperature to less than 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, seeking a more ambitious target of 1.5 degreesThis agreement is crucial to mitigating the worst effects of climate change, which include extreme weather events, biodiversity loss, and adverse effects on human health and food security.
Despite Trump's stance, many analysts argue that the US' withdrawal from the Paris Agreement does not necessarily mean that progress in combating climate change will stop. energy transition towards renewable energy sources is driven by undeniable economic factors, and many states and cities within the U.S. have demonstrated continued commitment to the Agreement's goals. This is especially important given that Europe and China are taking the lead in implementing the agreement.. In addition, there is concern regarding .
During his campaign, Trump argued that the Agreement was harmful to the US economy, even though most scientists have pointed out that the actions needed to mitigate climate change can also generate employment y sustainable economic growth.
Compliance with the Paris Agreement will not prevent phenomena such as El Niño, which underlines the complexity of climate change and the need for a multifaceted approach.
The Possibility of US Withdrawal from the Paris Agreement
The formal process for US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement requires the government to submit a formal letter of notification to the Secretariat of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. The withdrawal will not take effect until one year after this notification, meaning that even if Trump signs the executive order, the US will remain a party to the agreement during that time.
Trump's decisions on climate change and environmental policy have been criticized. In his first term, he withdrew the US from the Paris Agreement, and his return to fossil fuel extraction has been seen as a setback in the global fight against climate change. Experts warn that its approach could discourage other countries, such as China. and India, to make more ambitious commitments.
Effects of Withdrawal on Global Climate Action
The US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement could have ripple effects on global climate action. Some countries have already expressed concern about how this decision could affect the global commitment to addressing climate change. Leaders of nations such as Germany, France, and Italy have reiterated that the Paris Agreement is essential for the future of the planet and have reaffirmed their commitment to combating climate change. Furthermore, Germany experiences the effects of climate change, which highlights the urgency of the problem.
Furthermore, it has been established that the current climate crisis will not end simply because one country decides to withdraw from its international commitments. Global warming is a transnational problem and requires cooperation and collective action. most affected nations Due to climate change, including many developing countries, they depend on international cooperation and financial assistance from wealthier countries to adapt and mitigate its effects. This is reflected in the efforts of Trump, who continues to consider his options regarding the agreement.
The fight against climate change is not just a government responsibility; it's a global responsibility that involves everyone, from individuals to businesses and governments. Every action counts, and every effort is crucial to ensuring a sustainable future.
Global Reactions to the US Stance
The international community has reacted strongly to Trump's intentions. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has stated that the Paris Agreement remains the best hope for all humanity and that Europe will continue to work with all countries that wish to curb global warming. Similarly, China and Europe to spearhead the Paris Agreement, showing its firm commitment to climate change.
From the private sector, business leaders They have also expressed their discontent with Trump's decision. Leading companies and environmental groups have warned that the U.S. withdrawal could hinder progress in the fight against climate change, a challenge already wreaking havoc in various regions of the world.
However, despite Trump's attempts to dismantle environmental progress, a growing number of US cities, states, and businesses have formed coalitions to uphold the commitments made in the Paris Agreement. Groups such as America Is All In and the US Climate Alliance remain committed to emissions reductions and climate action, demonstrating that leadership in the fight against climate change does not depend solely on the federal government.
The Energy Emergency and its Implications
One of the most controversial measures that Trump has adopted is the declaration of the first energy emergency This action aims to accelerate fossil fuel production, thereby seeking to address inflation and energy costs in the country. However, many critics have argued that this is counterproductive and goes against global efforts to mitigate climate change.
Trump's focus on increasing the production of fossil fuels, such as oil and gas, could undermine the progress made by state and local governments committed to shifting to renewable energy sources. Dependence on fossil fuels not only contributes to global warming, but also raises public health risks and the environment.
Impact on International Policies
Trump's stance on the Paris Agreement could reshape the negotiating dynamics in international forums. While some countries could use the US withdrawal as an excuse to discourage their own climate efforts, others, particularly in Europe and Asia, are preparing to increase their environmental commitments and lead the fight against climate change.
For example, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has emphasized that his country will continue working to address climate change and promote clean growth, despite the U.S. decision to withdraw from the Paris Agreement. The international community is closely watching how events unfold around Trump's climate policy and its impact on global commitments.
The possibility of the United States withdrawing completely from the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change has also been a cause for concern. If this were to happen, the U.S. could be excluded from global climate dialogues, just when it is becoming crucial for all nations to work together to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and avoid the worst effects of the climate crisis.
The risks of global warming are evident and demand immediate and firm action at all levels.
The fight against climate change is not just a government responsibility; it's a global responsibility that involves everyone, from individuals to businesses and governments. Every action counts, and every effort is crucial to ensuring a sustainable future.
